Market InfoSelling December 25, 2024

Why Online Valuation’s like Zestimate’s Miss the Mark – Your Net Worth Deserves Better than Guesswork

Why Online Valuation’s like Zestimate’s Miss the Mark – and Why a Real Estate Agent Offers More Accuracy

Before the early 2000’s, you may have had a general idea about how much your house was worth at any given moment. But to get an accurate sense of it, you would’ve needed to ask a real estate professional to do some research, analyze it, and then give you their opinion.

However, even though most agents would provide it as a free service, it was still more effort than most people wanted to go through. Most people didn’t bother because it felt like too much effort, or they worried about wasting an agent’s time and being pestered with endless follow-up calls to list their home for sale. So, most homeowners relied on their gut, and the value of their home was just something they didn’t think much about on a regular basis unless they had a good reason.

That all changed in 2006 when Zillow introduced the Zestimate. Suddenly, anyone could get an instant valuation of their home with just a click. The Zestimate became an obsession for some—a real estate stock ticker tracking the “value” of their home. (Along with the homes of their neighbors, friends, enemies, coworkers, or even someone they just met at a party!)

If that sounds all too familiar to you, you may want to go back to the old way of doing things and rely more heavily on your agents’ advice. Because according to this recent Business Insider article, Zestimate’s are screwing up the homebuying process…

Why Real Estate Agents Cringe at Zestimates

You know who doesn’t love Zestimates? Real estate agents.

And it’s not because they see it as a threat to their existence. Agents have been fighting the good fight for many years, trying to caution people about putting too much stock in what it says the value of their house is.

It’s because they’re quite often inaccurate. And agents have to deal with the fallout of misinformed homeowners when they present them with a researched (and realistic) valuation of their home.

Imagine spending hours researching and providing a carefully analyzed, realistic home valuation, only to have it dismissed because it doesn’t match the Zestimate. Agents are left in the awkward position of being the bearer of bad news, trying to explain that an algorithm doesn’t know the market as intimately as someone who lives and breathes it every day.

It gets worse when clients assume agents are undervaluing their home to make a quick sale or question their expertise altogether. That misplaced trust in a Zestimate can damage an agent’s credibility, sometimes driving clients to work with someone else who just agrees with the algorithm.

The Problem with Algorithms

At one point, Zillow got into the business of buying and flipping homes, but it didn’t end well. Their algorithm, which should have made it difficult for them to fail, couldn’t accurately predict the value of houses. The result? Zillow had to pull the plug on its home-buying program, lay off a quarter of its workforce, and watch its company valuation drop by billions.

Even Zillow acknowledges the limits of its Zestimate. Their website lists disclaimers about accuracy, but many people likely skip over them. According to their website, the nationwide average margin of error is 2.4% for homes on the market and a much larger 7.49% for off-market homes. For a $500,000 home, that 7.49% translates to nearly $40,000—a big difference.

One reason Zestimate’s are more accurate for on-market homes is that they pull in detailed information provided by real estate agents. Agents have typically helped sellers price their homes accurately from the start, which improves the algorithm’s estimate.

But for off-market homes, it’s a different story. Zillow’s data shows that its Zestimates are within 20% of the actual sales price most of the time. So for a $500,000 home, that’s a range between $400,000 and $600,000. A $100,000 swing is hardly the pinpoint precision homeowners think they’re getting.

To be fair, they aren’t the only platform providing this type of info. But they were the first one people became acquainted with, and it’s still one of the most recognized and utilized by consumers. But many real estate websites offer the ability to look up the value of your home using “automated valuation models.”

Regardless of which one you may find yourself using, just keep in mind that they probably aren’t as accurate as you may think, and it might be a good idea to poke around and find out how accurate they actually claim to be.

Trust a Pro Over a Program

At the end of the day, a home’s value isn’t determined by an algorithm. It’s determined by what a buyer is willing to pay. To get the clearest picture of what your home might sell for in today’s market, you need more than data. You need context.

A real estate professional brings more than just market knowledge. They bring experience, insight, and an eye for details that no algorithm can match. They’ve toured countless homes and can draw nuanced comparisons based on factors like location, condition, and current buyer demand.

So, if you’re curious about your home’s value, don’t hesitate to ask an agent for their opinion. Most would be happy to provide a market analysis, no strings attached. After all, they’d much rather you trust their expertise than rely on an algorithm that could steer you wrong.

The Takeaway:

Zestimates can be a fun starting point for estimating your home’s value, but they’re no substitute for the expertise of a real estate professional. Algorithms may crunch numbers, but they can’t account for the nuances of the market. Before you make decisions based on an automated valuation, reach out to an your agent or appraiser for a more accurate and informed perspective. Your net worth deserves better than guesswork.

Market Info November 23, 2024

Answers to the Top 5 Questions Everyone’s Asking This Holiday Season

When Will Mortgage Rates Come Down?

Unfortunately, when it comes to mortgage rates, there’s no crystal ball. But there are key factors that will influence which way rates will go from here: the labor market, inflation, and the geopolitical landscape – just to name a few.  

While mortgage rates have been volatile over the past several months, as of right now, expert forecasts show mortgage rates should gradually decline in 2025 — but it all depends on how the economy performs.

What Will It Take for Prices To Come Down?

In short, they won’t. The fact of the matter is, builders aren’t overbuilding — they’re still trying to catch up after 15 years of underbuilding. That means we don’t have a surplus of new homes for sale. At the same time, even though the supply of existing homes for sale is growing, it’s still below the levels the market has seen in a more normal year.  

Those two factors combined are why all 10 of the experts we follow are forecasting prices will rise in the year ahead — they’ll just climb at a slower rate as inventory continues to grow:

https://www.fanniemae.com/media/53421/display

https://img03.en25.com/Web/MortgageBankersAssociation/%7B07b1990e-3611-4c10-a962-90edba1f02a3%7D_Mortgage_Finance_Forecast_Oct_2024.pdf
https://wellsfargo.bluematrix.com/links2/html/e66acfd0-821a-4d6b-aa16-f1720de2f44a
https://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/2024-10/forecast-q3-2024-us-economic-outlook-10-04-2024.pdf

The good news? You aren’t going to see the skyrocketing price appreciation that occurred over the past few years. Prices will continue to increase but at a healthier pace.   

Will I Be Able To Find a Home Before I Move?

You may be hearing a lot of frustration from buyers about low inventory right now. It’s true that inventory hasn’t hit a typical, normal level in years. But inventory has grown substantially — and steadily — over the last year, giving buyers more options. In October, there were 29.2% more homes available than at the same time last year.  
Of course, it’s important to know what’s happening locally, too. Each market may differ.

Will the Housing Market Pick Up Next Year?

With inventory steadily increasing and mortgage rates expected to come down gradually over the next year, more homes will sell in 2025. Experts project 5.2 million homes will sell next year, followed by continued growth in the years to come. While that’s not as much as when the market was booming a few years ago, it’s an improvement from the low we saw in 2024. And that means more activity. 

It may be important to realize you might have the chance to get ahead of the crowd if you move now. A lot of people are going to wait until rates come down to jump back into the market. If you are considering a move you might want to seize this moment, to beat those other buyers to the punch — and that could mean less competition for your move.

Is the Market Going To Crash?

Everyone remembers the housing crash in the early 2000s, when home values dropped considerably, and people fell behind on their mortgages. And they’re afraid that’s going to happen again. 

Here’s one big reason today is different. In 2008, homeowners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth.

Today, it’s the opposite. Homeowners have record amounts of equity. This equity acts like a safety net and is allowing many homeowners to avoid going into foreclosure if they’re facing financial hardships. 

What that means is the value of homes significantly outweighs what people owe on their loans — and this is one sign that the housing market isn’t going to crash. 

Bottom Line

Market volatility over the last few years has buyers and sellers skeptical of what’s to come, and hesitant to make a move.
But 2025 looks brighter. Expect mortgage rates to come down, total home sales to rise, and prices to increase at a more reasonable rate.  
Buying November 19, 2024

What Does It Mean to Make a Principal-Only Payment?

You’ll hear the terms principal and interest when you get a home loan. Your principal is the amount you borrow for your home loan, and your interest is what you pay monthly to use the loan.

To calculate the principal of a mortgage, you would subtract your down payment from the final sales price of the home you’re buying. The principal you borrow starts accumulating interest right when you take it out.

Your interest payment is the second part of a monthly mortgage payment. You’re paying your mortgage lender to give you a loan, which is reflected in your interest. Most lenders will calculate your mortgage rate in terms of an annual percentage rate or APR. APR is what you pay on your loan per year in interest. If you borrow $200,000 and your APR is 5%, you’re paying $10,000 a year in interest.

Your principal is high at the start of your loan, so during this time, your monthly payment is primarily going towards paying your interest.

A few percentage points of interest significantly affect how much you ultimately pay for your loan. If, for example, you borrowed $150,000 and your interest rate on a 30-year loan was 4%, your monthly payment would be around $716. If you had the same loan but a 6% interest rate, your monthly payment jumps to more than $899.

A difference of just 2% in interest rates, for example, can make a difference of tens of thousands of dollars in how much you pay in interest over the life of your loan.

When you make a payment on your loan, your lender will apply part of your payment to interest and fees before reducing the principal. The lender will use the same formula to pay the interest if you make additional monthly payments. The lender adds up interest accrued during the month, using a part of your payment to pay accrued interest before it’s then applied to your principal.

So, What is a Principal-Only Payment?

A principal-only payment is going entirely toward reducing your principal. Since the amount of interest you pay is based on the principal, your interest charges are smaller when you reduce your principal.

You can pay off debt faster with principal-only payments and save on interest.

Not all lenders will allow a principal-only payment, and some lenders will let you make additional payments during the month, but you need to specify it should go toward only the principal.

Regarding a home loan, you’re making an additional principal payment that’s supplementary and applied directly to your principal mortgage amount, which goes beyond your scheduled monthly payment.

Your monthly payments stay the same, no matter how many principal-only payments you make. You will save more money in interest throughout your loan life.

You might want to recast your mortgage if you want lower monthly payments.

Mortgage Recasting

Finally, if you want to save on your home loan, mortgage recasting can help you pay less interest costs and maybe cut down on the total number of payments you must make before you pay your mortgage in full.

You make a lump-sum payment towards your loan’s principal balance with a mortgage recast. Your lender amortizes your mortgage, reflecting your lower balance. You can lower your monthly payments because your principal went down, but your term and interest rates stay the same.

One example of when someone might recast a mortgage is if they bought a new home before selling their old one. Then, once they sell their previous home, they can use that money to recast their new mortgage.

If you get a bonus or windfall of money for some reason, you might also want to do a mortgage recast. Many lenders will charge a servicing fee for this, but not usually more than a few hundred dollars.

Not every lender will offer this option, and some types of loans aren’t eligible.

You can’t have a government-backed loan and it must meet minimum standards for principal reduction. For example, you usually have to make a minimum payment of $5,000. You’ll also probably need to meet equity requirements, and you have to meet requirements set by your lender for your payment history.

Buying October 31, 2024

Avoid These Top Homebuyer Mistakes in Today’s Market

No one likes making mistakes, especially when they happen in what’s likely the biggest transaction of your life – buying a home.

That’s why partnering with a trusted agent is so important. Here’s a sneak peek at the most common missteps buyers are making in today’s market and how a great agent will help you steer clear of each one.

Trying To Time the Market

Many buyers are trying to time the market by waiting for home prices or mortgage rates to drop. This can be a really risky strategy because there’s so much at play that can have an impact on those things. As Elijah de la Campa, Senior Economist at Redfin, says:

My advice for buyers is don’t try to time the market. There are ​a lot of swing factors, like the upcoming jobs report and the presidential election, that could cause the housing market to take unexpected twists and turns. If you find a house you love and can afford to buy it, now’s not a bad time.”

Buying More House Than You Can Afford

If you’re tempted to stretch your budget a bit further than you should, you’re not alone. A number of buyers are making this mistake right now.

But the truth is, it’s actually really important to avoid overextending your budget, especially when other housing expenses like home insurance and taxes are on the rise. You want to talk to the pros to make sure you understand what’ll really work for you. Bankrate offers this advice:

“Focus on what monthly payment you can afford rather than fixating on the maximum loan amount you qualify for. Just because you can qualify for a $300,000 loan doesn’t mean you can comfortably handle the monthly payments that come with it along with your other financial obligations.”

Missing Out on Assistance Programs That Can Help

Saving up for the upfront costs of homeownership takes some careful planning. You’ve got to think about your closing costs, down payment, and more. And if you don’t work with a team of experienced professionals, you could miss out on programs out there that can make a big difference for you. This is happening more than you realize.

According to Realtor.com, almost 80% of first-time buyers qualify for down payment assistance – but only 13% actually take advantage of those programs. So, talk to a lender about your options. Whether you’re buying your first house or your fifth, there may be a program that can help.

Not Leaning on the Expertise of a Pro

This last one may be the most important of all. The very best way to avoid making a mistake that’s going to cost you is to lean on a pro. With the right team of experts, you can easily dodge these missteps.

Bottom Line

The good news is you don’t have to deal with any of these headaches. Let’s connect so you have a pro on your side who can help you avoid these costly mistakes.

Building a Home October 26, 2024

Why Having Your Own Agent Matters When Buying a New Construction Home

Finding the right home is one of the biggest challenges for potential buyers today. Right now, the supply of homes for sale is still low. But there is a bright spot. Newly built homes make up a larger percent of the total homes available for sale than normal. That’s why, if you’re craving more options, it makes sense to see if a newly built home is right for you.

But it’s important to remember the process of working with a builder is different than buying from a homeowner. And, while builders typically have sales agents on-site, having your own agent helps make sure you have proper representation throughout your homebuying journey. As Realtor.com says:

“Keep in mind that the on-site agent you meet at a new-construction office works for the builder. So, as the homebuyer, it’s a smart idea to bring in your own agent, as well, to help you negotiate and stay protected in the transaction.”

Here’s how having your own agent is key when you build or buy a new construction home.

Agents Know the Local Area and Market

It’s important to consider how the neighborhood and surrounding area may evolve before making your home purchase. Your agent is well-versed in the upcoming communities and developments that could influence your decision. One way a real estate agent can help is by reviewing the builder’s site plan. For example, you’ll want to know if there are any plans to construct a highway or add a drainage ditch behind your prospective backyard.

Knowledge of Construction Quality and Builder Reputation

An agent also has expertise in the construction quality and reputation of different builders. They can give you insights into each one’s track record, customer satisfaction, and construction practices. Armed with this information, you can choose a builder known for consistently delivering top-notch homes.

Assistance with Customization and Upgrades

The most obvious benefit of opting for new home construction is the opportunity to customize your home. Your agent will guide you through that process and share advice on the upgrades that are most likely to add long-term value to your home. Their expertise helps make sure you focus your budget on areas that will give you the greatest return on your investment later.

Understanding Builder Negotiations and Contracts

When it comes to working with builders, having a skilled negotiator on your side can make all the difference. Builder contracts can be complex. Your agent can help you navigate these contracts to make sure you fully understand the terms and conditions. Plus, agents are skilled negotiators who can advocate for you, potentially securing better deals, upgrades, or incentives throughout the process. As Realtor.com says:

“A good buyer’s agent will be able to review any contracts before you sign on the dotted line, ensuring you aren’t unwittingly agreeing to terms that only benefit the builder.” 

Bottom Line

If you are interested in buying or building a new construction home, having a trusted agent by your side can make a big difference. If you’d like to start that conversation, connect with a local real estate agent.

Uncategorized October 26, 2024

Common Things that Homeowner’s Get Wrong about their Homeowner’s Insurance Policy

Home insurance is designed to cover you in the event that your home is damaged. You pay a monthly fee so that if and when you need to use your policy, you don’t have to spend your entire savings trying to cover the damages, or worry that you won’t have enough money to even cover the damages.

Many homeowners think their home insurance covers them in any and all circumstances. Unfortunately, that’s just not true, and thinking it is could put you in a tough (and expensive!) position if and when you file a claim.

So, what are the things most people get wrong about their home insurance? A recent article from realtor.com outlined common incorrect assumptions people have about their home insurance policies, including:

  • Their policy covers every kind of disaster. Many homeowners think that their home insurance policy will cover them in the event of any and all disasters. But unfortunately, that’s often not the case. For example, most standard home insurance policies don’t cover flood damage, which could be devastating if you find yourself in the midst of a natural disaster, like a hurricane or flooding event.
  • They don’t need flood coverage unless they live in a flood zone. While there are certain places that are historically more prone to flooding—like coastal areas, which are more likely to have hurricanes—there have been more extreme weather patterns, even in areas where you wouldn’t expect certain types of disasters. So, even if you don’t technically live in a flood zone, you still might want to have a flood policy in place.
  • They don’t realize they have to pay a deductible before their insurance kicks in. Many people think insurance will cover all of their damage-related costs, but they’re forgetting the deductible. Insurance deductibles typically run between $1000 and $5000, which means that you will have to shell out that $1000 to $5000 before your insurance will pay for any damages.
Market Info October 21, 2024

What To Expect from Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2025

What To Expect from Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2025

Curious about where the housing market is headed in 2025? The good news is that experts are offering some promising forecasts, especially when it comes to two key factors that directly affect your decisions: mortgage rates and home prices.

Whether you’re thinking of buying or selling, here’s a look at what the experts are saying and how it might impact your move.

Mortgage Rates Are Forecast To Come Down

One of the biggest factors likely affecting your plans is mortgage rates, and the forecast looks positive. After rising dramatically in recent years, experts project rates will ease slightly throughout the course of 2025 (see graph below):

a graph showing the rate of a forecastWhile that decline won’t be a straight line down, the overall trend should continue over the next year. Expect a few bumps along the way, because the trajectory of rates will depend on new economic data and inflation numbers as they’re released. But don’t get too hung up on those blips and reactions from the market as they happen. Focus on the bigger picture.

Lower mortgage rates mean improving affordability. As rates come down, your monthly mortgage payment decreases, giving you more flexibility in what you can afford if you buy a home.

This shift will likely bring more buyers and sellers back into the market, though. As Charlie Dougherty, Director and Senior Economist at Wells Fargo, explains:

“Lower financing costs will likely boost demand by pulling affordability-crunched buyers off of the sidelines.”

As that happens, both inventory and competition among buyers will ramp back up. The takeaway? You can get ahead of that competition now. Lean on your agent to make sure you understand how the shifts in rates are impacting demand in your area.

Home Price Projections Show Modest Growth

While mortgage rates are expected to come down slightly, home prices are forecast to rise—but at a much more moderate pace than the market has seen in recent years.

Experts are saying home prices will grow by an average of about 2.5% nationally in 2025 (see graph below):

a graph of green barsThis is far more manageable than the rapid price increases of previous years, which saw double-digit percentage growth in some markets.

What’s behind this ongoing increase in prices? Again, it has to do with demand. As more buyers return to the market, demand will rise – but so will supply as sellers feel less rate-locked.

More buyers in markets with inventory that’s still below the norm will put upward pressure on prices. But with more homes likely to be listed, supply will help keep price growth in check. This means that while prices will rise, they’ll do so at a healthier, more sustainable pace.

Of course, these national trends may not reflect exactly what’s happening in your local market. Some areas might see faster price growth, while others could see slower gains. As Lance Lambert, Co-Founder of ResiClub, says:

“Even if the average national home price forecast for 2025 is correct, it’s possible that some regional housing markets could see mild home price declines, while some markets could still see elevated appreciation. That has been, after all, the case this year.”

Even the few markets that may see flat or slightly lower prices in 2025 have had so much appreciation in recent years – it may not have a big impact. That’s why it’s important to work with a local real estate expert who can give you a clear picture of what’s happening where you’re looking to buy or sell.

Bottom Line

With mortgage rates expected to ease and home prices projected to rise at a more moderate pace, 2025 is shaping up to be a more promising year for both buyers and sellers.

If you have any questions about how these trends might impact your plans, let’s connect. That way you’ve got someone to help you navigate the market and make the most of the opportunities ahead.

Uncategorized October 17, 2024

Why Did More People Decide To Sell Their Homes Recently?

Why Did More People Decide To Sell Their Homes Recently?

Homeowners typically slow down their moving plans as the summer months wrap up, and as a result, fewer homes are listed for sale in the fall. It’s a predictable, seasonal trend in real estate. But this year, mortgage rates came down at the same time the number of homes on the market usually starts to decline. So, what happened? More homeowners decided to sell, so more homes came to the market.

The most recent data from Realtor.com reveals that in September, the number of homes put up for sale increased by 11.6% compared to this time last year.

As the green circle in the graph below shows, the typical September decline in homes coming to the market didn’t happen – that number actually went up (see graph below):

a graph of a number of homesRalph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.comexplains why there was an unseasonable rise:

“This sharp increase is largely due to the decline in mortgage rates in mid-August, enticing homeowners to sell.”

So, as rates came down at the end of the summer, more people jumped into the market and decided to make their move.

What Does This Mean If You’re Looking To Buy a Home?

It means more fresh options to choose from than you’ve had in a while – not the ones that have been sitting around, unsold.

But keep in mind, mortgage rates have been volatile lately, ticking up slightly in recent weeks, which could limit the number of people who feel comfortable with the idea of selling in the months ahead. And in this market, it’s mortgage rates that are largely driving homeowner decisions.

Why Buy Now, Rather Than Wait?

Whether you’re looking for a starter home, an upgrade, or hoping to downsize, you have more homes to choose from right now. And if you can find what you’re looking for, know that these new, fresh options won’t be on the market forever. So, staying on top of what’s available in your local area with a trusted agent is key.

And remember, one month doesn’t make a trend. So, what does that mean going forward? Whether more homeowners than normal continue to put their houses on the market will largely depend on what happens with mortgage rates and the economic factors that impact them, like inflation, employment, and the reactions by the Federal Reserve.

With that in mind, now might be your moment, while more homes are available – if you’re ready, willing, and able to buy this fall.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“The rise in inventory – and, more technically, the accompanying months’ supply – implies home buyers are in a much-improved position to find the right home and at more favorable prices.”

Bottom Line

As rates came down at the end of the summer, sellers started to trickle back into the market, which means buyers have more choices right now. Let’s connect to make sure you have a trusted advisor to help you navigate the new options before they’re all scooped up.

Uncategorized October 15, 2024

Home Values Rise Even as Median Prices Fall

Recent headlines have been buzzing about the median asking price of homes dropping compared to last year, and that’s sparked plenty of confusion. And as a buyer or seller, it’s easy to assume that means prices are coming down. But here’s the catch: those numbers don’t tell the full story.

Nationally, home values are actually rising, even if the median price is down a bit. Let’s break down what’s really happening so you can make sense of the market without getting caught up in the fear the headlines create.

Homes on the Market Right Now Are Smaller

The biggest reason for the dip in median price is the size of homes being sold. The median price reflects the middle point of all the homes for sale at any given time. And that’ll be affected by the mix of homes on the market.

To show you how this works, here’s a simple explanation of a median (see visual below). Let’s say you have three coins in your pocket, and you decide to line them up according to their value from low to high. If you have one nickel and two dimes, the median (the middle one) is 10 cents. If you have two nickels and one dime, the median is now five cents.

In both cases, a nickel is still worth five cents and a dime is still worth 10 cents. The value of each coin didn’t change. The same is true for housing.

Right now, there’s a greater number of smaller, less expensive homes on the market, and that’s bringing the overall median price down. But that doesn’t mean home values are declining.

As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.comexplains:

“The share of inventory of smaller and more affordable homes has grown, which helps hold down the median price even as per-square-foot prices grow further.”

And here’s the data to prove it.

Price Per Square Foot Is Still Rising

One of the best ways to measure home values is by looking at the price per square foot. That’s because it shows how much you’re paying for the space inside the home.

The median asking price doesn’t take into account the size of different homes, so it may not always reflect the true value. And the latest national price per square foot data shows home values are still increasing, even though the median asking price has dropped (see graph below).

As Ralph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

“When a change in the mix of inventory toward smaller homes is accounted for, the typical home listed this year has increased in asking price compared with last year.”

This means that while smaller homes are affecting the median price, the average home’s value is still rising. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA):

“Nationally, the U.S. housing market has experienced positive annual appreciation each quarter since the start of 2012.”

So, while headlines may make it sound like prices are crashing, you don’t have to worry. With a closer look and more reliable data, you can see that prices are still climbing nationally.

But it’s important to remember that home prices can vary by region. While national trends provide a big-picture view, local markets may be experiencing different conditions. A trusted agent is the best resource to explain what’s happening in your area.

Bottom Line

The decrease in median price is not the same as a decrease in home values. The median asking price is down mostly due to the mix of smaller, less expensive homes on the market.

The important thing to focus on is the price per square foot, which is a better indicator of overall market value—and those prices are still going up. If you have questions about what home prices are doing in your area, feel free to reach out.

In the News September 15, 2024

Beyond the Headlines: Understanding How Proposed Changes in Real Estate Commissions Will Actually Impact You as a Buyer or Seller

You’ve probably heard the news that there are changes coming in terms of how real estate commissions are paid.

This might sound exciting and like a potential game-changer for you as a home seller or buyer, with headlines proclaiming things like:

  • “Real estate commissions are being slashed!”
  • “Selling your house will now be less expensive!”
  • “No more paying 6% to real estate agents!”

But you’re also probably not sure exactly what it all means, how it will work, or how you’ll benefit from the changes.

Unfortunately, even if you ask the most informed agents on the planet, you probably aren’t going to get many answers. It isn’t because agents don’t want to answer your questions; it’s because they don’t even know exactly how the changes are going to work.

The settlement happened seemingly overnight. There was no advance warning or discussion with agents. They found out by reading a bunch of headlines you probably saw at the same time they did.

On top of that, most of the headlines are misleading, because nobody knows exactly how things are going to play out. Any claims that the media makes that commissions will be cut in half, or any specific number of dollars will be saved by consumers, remains to be seen. The changes might reduce commissions. On the other hand, they could increase them. As with many things the government or court system touches, there’s always the possibility that it could create more issues than it solves.

But, for the time being, as much as you might want or expect your local agent to be able to give you specifics, please understand that they can’t. For starters, it’s a proposed settlement, not yet accepted by the courts, and if it’s approved, the changes won’t start until July.

Here’s What Matters to Buyers and Sellers in a Nutshell

Unless you’re in the business, you probably have no desire to read through all of the court documents or proposed settlement. You just want to know what changes will possibly impact you. So here’s an excerpt from a National Association of REALTORS® press release, highlighting the changes that will most likely affect you:

“In addition to the financial payment, NAR has agreed to put in place a new MLS rule prohibiting offers of broker compensation on the MLS. This would mean that offers of broker compensation could not be communicated via the MLS, but they could continue to be an option consumers can pursue off-MLS through negotiation and consultation with real estate professionals. Offers of compensation help make professional representation more accessible, decrease costs for home buyers to secure these services, increase fair housing opportunities, and increase the potential buyer pool for sellers. They are also consistent with the real estate laws in the many states that expressly authorize them.

Further, NAR has agreed to enact a new rule that would require MLS participants working with buyers to enter into written agreements with their buyers. NAR continues, as it has done for years, to encourage its members to use buyer brokerage agreements that help consumers understand exactly what services and value will be provided, and for how much. These changes will go into effect in mid-July 2024.”

Again, unless you’re in the business, that may not even be all that clear of an explanation. So to put it in simpler terms:

  • Sellers and their agents won’t be allowed to offer a commission to buyers’ agents within their listing.
  • However, that doesn’t mean that a seller isn’t allowed to pay buyers’ agents a commission. It just can’t be published in the listing.
  • And buyers will now be required to sign a written agreement with an agent in order to work with them, which will likely require them to agree to a certain amount of compensation. That doesn’t necessarily mean the compensation has to be paid out of the buyers’ pocket; it could be an agreed upon amount that will be negotiated into the purchase price paid for through the proceeds of the sale.

Basically, it allows sellers to choose to not offer or agree to pay a commission to buyers’ agents when they list their house for sale, and allows buyers to choose to not work with a buyers’ agent when they buy, in hopes of saving money. But before you do that, there are some things you should keep in mind.

Here Are Some Things to Keep in Mind if You’re Selling a House…

  • It doesn’t mean that you can’t offer a commission to buyers’ agents.
  • Although you can’t publish how much you’re willing to offer or agree to on your listing, in most cases, it will still benefit sellers to offer and be willing to offer commissions to buyers’ agents in order to get the most exposure for their home, and ultimately the best offers possible.
  • There’s a good chance that buyer agent commissions will likely still be paid through the proceeds of the sale, as they have been for many years.
  • If you’re selling to a buyer who doesn’t have an agent representing them, they’ll likely expect you to drop your price accordingly since you’re not paying another agent. In other words, if your house was worth $300,000, and buyers perceive that a buyers’ agent commission would have been 3% — even though it rarely was in reality… but that’s what the public and media have often perceived it to be — then the buyer will want a $9,000 reduction on your price below what they already want to negotiate as the fair market value.
  • It could cause more risk and lawsuits that may directly involve you and your property. Dual agency, which is when an agent represents both the buyer and the seller, is one of the leading causes of lawsuits in the industry. This new way of doing business could create a lot more situations where consumers don’t have their own independent representation, which could lead to either the buyer or seller feeling like their interests weren’t entirely represented.

Here Are Some Things to Keep in Mind if You’re Buying a House…

  • The way buyers’ agents have been paid is a result of originally trying to protect buyers decades ago. Years ago buyers didn’t have an agent dedicated to representing their interests, and were often unaware that the seller’s agent didn’t actually represent their interests as well. So rules and laws were passed to change that, and listing agents were compelled to offer buyers agents a percentage of the commission if they represented a buyer on a house they were listing. This gave buyers more choice in who represented them, and the ability to compensate their agent without having to pay out of pocket. So, for many buyers, this isn’t that great of a change for you unless you cherish the idea of representing yourself and figuring out how to do everything that needs to get done.
  • You will now have to choose a buyer’s agent and sign an agreement with them. This has always been an option, and it could be argued that it should always have been required, but most buyers’ agents didn’t want to seem too pushy or aggressive, so they never asked for one. Now you’ll need to sign a contract to work with them.
  • Don’t expect agents to be willing or able to work for a much lower commission than they’ve been working for in the past. According to recent data from the National Association of REALTORS®, the average agent earns between $44,951 and $58,528. And they work long and hard to even earn that much. There is rarely a day off, let alone a vacation, and they easily work more than 40 hours per week. Will you be able to find an agent who will work for lower rates? Perhaps. But as is the case in any industry, sometimes going with the lowest cost option ends up costing you more in the end.
  • While you may expect sellers to drop their price because they don’t have to pay a buyers’ agent, don’t be surprised if they dig in their heels and expect to get as much or more than similar houses have recently sold for. They will still be basing the market value of their house off of data that had buyer agent commissions factored in.
  • If you go it alone, go in knowing that finding the right house, understanding market values, negotiating the best deals, and handling everything involved throughout the process from contract to closing isn’t as easy as it may sound. There is more to buying a house than just finding it online, making an offer, and then going to a closing. You will have to do the work your agent would have done, and know what needs to be done in the first place. The sellers’ agent won’t be doing the work of the non-existent buyers’ agent.

While it’s impossible to predict exactly how everything will play out, those are a few things to keep in mind whether you’re buying or selling.

The best thing to do if you’re curious or concerned about the coming changes is to reach out to your local agent and ask them for their perspective, insights, advice, and to keep you in the loop as the changes get finalized.

The Takeaway:

While the headlines about changing real estate commission structures might sound exciting and like a potential game-changer for you as a home seller or buyer, they are misleading, because nobody knows exactly how things are going to play out. While it’s true that commissions may shift, the details remain uncertain.

If the proposed settlement is accepted by the courts, sellers won’t be able to advertise agent commissions, however they will still be allowed to offer them, just not within their listing. In many cases this will still benefit the seller to do so in order to get the most exposure for their house, and sell it for the most money possible.

Buyers will be given the option to not work with a buyers agent, however that could come with some unexpected downsides and difficulties, and may not produce the savings they anticipate. Fortunately, you will still be able to hire your own representation, and have an agent looking out for your interests and helping you through the process.